Economic crisis: Cosmos and people

This logic psychopathic behavior was popular among hysterical people. If they gave more money after September 1929, they would have immediately allowed the stock market speculation. Giving more money at the moment is not just the continuation of madness. Just as in the 2009 crisis. If there was no money for playing or if they would be reduced, than it would be followed by the blues, anxiety and depression, as it had been observed in the United States. The immediate cause of the economic downturn just stands the unusual change of mentality and the motivation of market participants with the behavior of people in awe. Behavior was exactly the same as hysteroid accentuations have after a violent agitation.

Taking oath on the 4

of March, 1933, Roosevelt said, "… the only thing to fear is fear itself, irrational, faceless, unjustified terror which paralyzes the efforts required to convert retreat in the offensive." And there was a joke about Roosevelt in those days, that his analyst was God himself.

We must note that the fear and panic coexisted with high spirits and confidence that everything will be great after a while. That is how people in that period of uncertainty and stress added more hormones that caused optimism, while others increased the amount of hormones that caused fear. Let us confirm this fact by the quotes of experts and market participants.

"It is time to buy stocks. Now anyone in America who stands for decrease will lose their money. Perhaps in a few days the bear panic will take place rather than a bull panic. Likely, there will be no such low prices for many of those shares that are being sold so hysterically" (JP. Morgan, "New York Herald Tribune", October 30, 1929). "You should buy a reliable, proven promotion and you will not regret it" (Bulletin analyst E. A Pierce, "New York Herald Tribune", October 30, 1929). "There are intelligent people who are now buying stocks … Unless there is a panic, and no one seriously believes in it, stocks will not fall down" (Financial Analyst R. McNeil, October 1929).

Optimism and pessimism as well as fear and bravado coexisted in different people and even in each person they interchanged depending on the situation. The behavior of people became emotional, irrational. And at the same time it was different. But gradually pessimism won. If we burn most of the hormones, the body starts to save them, forcing people to reduce activity. The mental state also changes.

Of course, the victory of pessimism resulted in increased number of market participants. With the growing number of participants in the determination of behavior, he psychology of crowds starts dominating, increasing the role of suggestion and unconscious components of the collective psyche. Mood hesitations during this period often lead to madness even those people who are most prone to mental disorders.

But if the voice of reason could be deafened, then the feast during the plague could continue. And what could deafen the reasonable view of the state of the market? When there is a lot of serotonin and adrenaline in blood, the reasonable view is unlikely. When hormones are missing, the blues will come itself. When hormones are normal, just thinking often helps, although sometimes psychotherapist is useful.

We have to remind that in 1921 Saturn and Jupiter were in conjunction. It was the intense activity that American literature called the "Roaring Twenties." Emotionally eclipsed mind started to dominate, although there were almost no sunspots (Wolf number in 1921 was 26, in 1922 – 14, 1923 – 6). Young and old played on stock exchanges. Of the 120 million Americans 30 million played on the stock exchanges and a half million had accounts in brokerage companies. As it often happens while playing or gambling, the most part of what you have is to be lost, and therefore money was borrowed. Newspapers wrote about winning in the system of interpersonal relations and they were talking about them more often as well. The hormones were demanded. But those who were forced to drown fear turned to be psychopaths – it was the included psychological mechanism of repression. So, human psyche was often in such situations. People just did not see and did not want to see the reality. They were waiting for money, big money.

It was during those years when the excessive optimism that led to that desire to get rich most evolved in the confidence that it could be easily done with the help of speculation. Under this need the update of the current financial and organizational structure was required. But then the solar activity started growing. In 1927 Wolf number equaled 69, in 1928 – 78, and in December 1929 it reached 108. Physiology of people had become different, and the habit of playing at the market remained.

Crash unfolded in strict accordance with the increase in solar activity and behavior patterns of hysteroid accentuations.

In June 1929 solar activity began to decline: Wolf number in June was 72, in July – 70, in August – 66, in September – 34, so the solar activity fell twice. Market participants cheered. Optimism began to grow. But the subsequent increase in solar activity again brought confusion in the head: October – 54, November – 81, December – 108. Besides, the planets were in such position that rocked people's minds both in the direction of positive and negative emotions. Historical optimism and cosmic events in 1921 began to pass. Jupiter and Saturn began to approach their opposition and in unison that great movement of exchange began to change the focus of its trends. But any analyst must take into consideration the influence of gravitational forces, and the influence of the electromagnetic activity of the Sun. These values are not linked by a linear dependence. But they resonate with each other cyclically over 144 years. These are cyclical resonances. These factors were unfavorable in 1929 for market growth. They made other people qualitatively different.

Could the trend in the stock market change, if the FRS began to pump money into the economy in September 1929? Could that pumping alter the greatest hormonal change, which occurs with the powerful gravitational resonances in space? Perhaps it was possible, but only for a short time, when psychotherapy would cancel cyclic order given by Cosmos. Anyway, in the twentieth century (and other period for analysis no one), only the Second World War interrupted the economic cycles, but not so hard and not for a long period.

1.4. Crisis 2009

Famous economist Andrei Illarionov called the date of May 19, 2008 the beginning of the Russian crisis "What is crisis? ". Article in "The New Times", № 40[86] as of October 6, 2008. Actually that was the date when the Russian stock indexes stopped growing and began their downfall. The date is not random. That day the Earth was aligned not just between Jupiter and Saturn, but also between the Sun and the Moon. It was a kind of "gravitational stretching", which led to a serious reduction of its own gravity. This is an important day for the development of the world's stock markets.

What you should we note at first? When the Earth is between Jupiter and Saturn, the stock markets often fall. But it happened so that from March to June 2008 and from March to August 2009 the Earth was almost continuously between these planets. In addition it happened in March, September and December 2010 and also in March and November 2011. In August and December 2008, in January 2010 the planets of the solar system set for "bowl."

But the FRS was not napping; it turned to be the greatest specialist in the history being a psychiatrist and a hypnotist. Psychiatrist and hypnotizers convince with voice, simple arguments, hand movements, eyes … These are known techniques. FRS arguments urged different facts, such as scientific knowledge of the history of financial crises of previous years, monographs and columns of numbers. Instead of hand movements they used movements of funds in such a scale that had not been known in history yet. How could people stand from believing? Especially because they all wanted to believe that everything would be alright. “I’m happy to delude myself”. Even the FRS’s meeting on the 16

of March, the first time in 30 years on Sunday, had a psychotherapeutic effect. From March 16 to April 30 the FRS lowered rates provided by banks for funding several times. Just to reassure the markets and the people.

But this did not solve the problem, it just transferred solutions for the future, it was done to prevent the panic, but did not change the people themselves. People were changed with the crisis, and not by hypnotists, and that change led to the structural imbalances accumulated during the gradual growth of irrationality. If people did not change, and every time it is excellently done by crisis, crisis problems would be smeared in time. Psychotherapeutic means that you can remove some of the psychological problems of the patient, but just for a while. The prick for seriously ill person can save their life, but the recovery will take time. Though it all lasted until the output lines of the Earth Jupiter – Saturn, people did not change. So, being not completely recovered, the economy will "sneeze" more and more.

Gravitational effects during crises in 1929 and 2009 are similar, but the state of the Earth's magnetosphere is not stable at all. If in 1929 it aggravated the mental state of the punters, then in 2009 it was favorable to the market participants (average Wolf number in 2009 was 3). This is one of many factors that contributed to special features of the crisis in the future. Pessimism was less than 1929. But the emotional state was not easy. This has affected the dynamics of the stock markets, but still has not repealed the action of the cosmic forces that demonstrates the behavior of the index S&P500.

The top of index S&P500 turned out in September 2007

Perhaps it was not by chance. All the planets are evenly located around the Sun. Then the world began to group together and the index dropped. March 2, 2008 was the significant date, when U.S. indexes fell down to 12-year low. Shares of 30 companies were included in the index of Dow Jones, and 23 were closed on a negative territory. The largest decline of shares belonged to the "Citigroup". Their shares dropped by 39%. The shares of "Bank of America" dropped by 25.75%. Pessimism has covered the U.S. stock markets. It happened when the Earth got to the line of Jupiter and Saturn, and cosmogram took the form of "bowl."

Events on the horizon in 2008 repeated the things that happened in 1929: Jupiter and Saturn were included in opposition. Major changes in the stock market were closely related to the moments when the Earth crossed the line of Jupiter and Saturn. Yet in 2009 there wasn’t the same panic as in 1929, there was no rush for those few days, when it started. Of course, people changed qualitatively and strengthened financial controls, and there was a belief that these controls would not allow the things that happened before. But solar activity was almost zero, and therefore the people in the mass just behaved differently.

FRS acted in this situation as the greatest therapist. It made an unexpected decision to change rates and to buy back shares with shorter maturities that were reconciled in astronomical terms. Authority of Bernanke and his team acted magically. They did along with the actual economic effect which they brought to the market and psychotherapy. This is not the ultimate cause of the crisis but it was less destructive than in 1929. In 1929, such a therapist, according to the Americans themselves, declared himself President Roosevelt. In the third millennium it was the FRS, which was the most trustful source. Although the money was injected into the economy, the real economy was not reached. It's a fact. Therefore it is impossible to ignore the mitigating crisis factor of low solar activity.

Of course, the causes of the crisis are firstly associated with the violation of financial and economic proportions. They are also connected with the acceleration of socio-economic problems in the society.

In 2007, shortly before the beginning of the active phase of the global financial crisis, the volume of the CDS market exceeded $ 60 trillion. The total amount of dollars of derivatives by that time reached approximately 1200 trillion dollars, which is about 20 times more than the world's Gross Domestic Product. Just like in the crisis of 1929, but on a larger scale. According to many experts, it was the collapse in the financial derivatives market has had caused the global financial crisis. Despite the fact that the CDS market share of all derivatives was less than 5%, the role of that tool in the preparation of the 2008 crisis was great.

"This market [CDS] is not regulated, and the holders of the contracts are in absolute ignorance about their protected counterparts. This is the sword of Damocles that is ready to fall as soon as the bankruptcy starts" – wrote George Soros in April 2008. Almost all the banks on Wall Street were both huge assets and liabilities that were regulated by the instruments of CDS, but some banks ("JP Morgan", "AIG", "Lehman Brothers" and others) had such commitments on the order (orders) that exceeded expectations. Everything was on the verge of collapse. But it was a collapse mechanism and it caused wider.

Reasons were connected with the people who had made such imbalances. Their minds refused to understand the truth at the time of slow cumulative increase of those problems. Graphically it looks like icicles falling under the force of the wind that caused the avalanche, which carried away the village. You can talk about the reason of this phenomenon at the level of reasoning that the piece of ice has to blow out the other side. You can talk about the need to avalanche the events. But it is possible to speculate on the scale of climate change that is happening due to the action of cosmic factors. The village was built in the period when the weather was different. It must endure.

Speaking about the reasons of economic crisis, we often argue at the level where it is necessary to send a particular piece of ice or that bag of money. And yet … However, the causes of these events are bigger. Village should move the social structure of society and it must be changed.

If we analyze the reasons for the level of snowflakes and icicles, even the efforts of the best mathematicians with best goals in this world will not give answers to some questions about what to do, what to change, how to avoid crises in the future. This phenomenon is well known: it is impossible to rationally describe probabilistic system inside the system. For this purpose it is necessary to go to a higher system. Unpromising attempt to set the direction of the river flow through the study of the motion of water molecules is on the river and backwaters, but you should take the vortex pools into consideration. Without it is not the method. Problem can be solved simply: look from the outside or go to the river and feel the slightest fluctuations in water and its temperature.

Knowledge is inside us. And "soft power" is the force of gravitational magnetic fields through which a hand is easily swept. It may feel those who follow these forces as they float. But for this you get those "soft force" in response. There is a reason to believe that one must have a special soul, and everything should pass through it. Sometimes we try to learn direction of the river in the laboratory with a powerful mathematical and other software, but we make the studies of water having this water in the pot. The same goes with the economy. We often learn a complex stochastic processes, but not the true reasons for their occurrence.

Proposed methodology to address and overcome the crisis can be compared to the procedure to prevent avalanches. The necessary equipment is set on top of the mountains, which is possible with people gathering around the threatening avalanches, trying to get rid of them by using the air and heat gun. They blow away the snow from the tops. If air pressure does not help, then we have to make the snow melt.

Essence: the pinnacle of power in the system of socio-economic processes does not allow people who are above the objective to look at things with a higher truth because they put the private gain ahead. Do not let those who do not feel "soft power" judge about anything because definitely they can not be guided by what they judge about. And if you hit, you should move. You must expel the non-competent people from the talking activists and replace them with worthy professionals. Only resonators must have power and rule the enterprises and collectives.

Conclusions:

Any economic crisis is a sad consequence of the actions of people seeking to get any advantages over others for personal well-being and satisfaction. Such actions bring imbalance to the economic system, which tolerates it to a certain level, and then "resets" or breaks. Crisis in the economy and social explosions is not wanted. But it had become a necessity when the newly-built economic system becomes unreasonable or imbalanced. Crises bring us into harmony with the universe, if we fall out of it. They allow us to survive even if we are in "lawlessness." But we have to survive through hardships, loss, poverty, strife, confrontation and blood.

The acute phase of the crisis years of 2009 was largely overcome. But the things we will be developing in the future depend on whether there was a change in the psycho-economic elite in society, whether people have changed, whether they taught at least something from this crisis. If the psycho of people does not change in the right direction, if the leadership does not come to subjects, the crisis will be just postponed for a while, it is not overcome. We must realize this and become a little wiser. We need to adjust our thoughts and social structure. If you do not do it, the crisis persists and once again we will step on a rake. A complication of the social and economic organization requires more smart people to manage, it requires great minds, but the main thing here is the soul.

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